Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 384.702466 437.884468 497.353306 569.077246 653.627236 750.602261 870.926864
2025-08-17 313.167160 383.931061 470.557362 585.630656 736.329649 929.570740 1200.379311
2025-08-24 268.309730 344.561870 443.415873 583.254516 779.749868 1051.881911 1467.934166
2025-08-31 234.158416 311.741379 416.946590 573.440629 806.343848 1150.300137 1716.906071
2025-09-07 211.910610 291.012300 402.544524 575.966009 847.710116 1273.314154 2025.190731
2025-09-14 190.166243 267.894427 381.085436 563.749668 862.814966 1355.670592 2281.958515
2025-09-21 174.859487 252.188673 368.220916 562.117217 893.104389 1466.076287 2610.737182
2025-09-28 156.861720 230.471579 343.581045 537.960249 881.215496 1500.005289 2801.187783
2025-10-05 151.065547 226.904736 346.795892 559.906777 952.141622 1695.616008 3363.383193
2025-10-12 146.663380 224.994045 352.256143 586.031427 1034.224309 1927.569939 4068.594521
2025-10-19 138.727491 216.524872 345.791529 589.816895 1073.969047 2081.213702 4638.079568
2025-10-26 128.678394 203.657951 330.531415 575.439005 1075.276419 2153.028875 5025.894227
2025-11-02 119.860388 192.408282 317.469574 564.477997 1083.612332 2245.801299 5509.531279
2025-11-09 115.983341 189.407405 318.873267 581.876439 1155.097734 2500.338396 6538.879905
2025-11-16 109.748637 181.701770 310.898067 579.399749 1182.274897 2653.518283 7326.804964
2025-11-23 103.177236 172.879968 300.041502 569.677572 1191.339922 2762.775131 8019.170568
2025-11-30 98.693808 167.523134 295.276863 572.181359 1229.502528 2957.575030 9087.235667
2025-12-07 92.905120 159.328162 284.323045 560.061576 1230.245530 3049.596357 9825.919732
2025-12-14 88.751896 153.923120 278.421823 558.441948 1257.083647 3223.166068 10965.089436
2025-12-21 82.579752 144.275381 263.305305 534.474169 1222.908968 3207.606564 11324.756743
2025-12-28 81.478350 144.331696 267.876482 556.248891 1313.127744 3599.377498 13674.001005
2026-01-04 80.760058 145.072106 273.898993 582.167241 1419.592408 4076.127476 16760.637735
2026-01-11 78.053870 141.666920 270.895674 585.922659 1464.214735 4356.705542 19062.515458